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SEC · EDGAR 财务披露·· 10 天前精选AI 评分64

Lloyds Banking Group plc 2026年前三季度财报发布

6-K - Lloyds Banking Group plc (0001160106) (Filer)

AI 导读

Lloyds Banking Group plc 2026年前三季度净利润为48.35亿英镑,同比增长42%。净利息收入为108.27亿英镑,同比增长10%。非利息收入为52.57亿英镑,同比增长18%。减值损失为9.26亿英镑,同比增加49%。资本充足率有所下降,但部分被资本结构调整所抵消。

推荐理由

Lloyds Banking Group plc 2026年前三季度净利润同比增长42%,净利息收入和非利息收入均实现增长,但减值损失增加。资本充足率有所下降,但部分被资本结构调整所抵消。

正文

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 6-K 

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER

PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16

UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

29 October 2026

Commission File number 001-15246

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP plc

(Translation of registrant's name into English)

33 Old Broad Street

London

EC2N 1HZ

United Kingdom

(Address of principal executive offices)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ☒Form 40-F ☐

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101 (b) (1)

________.

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101 (b) (7)

________.

This report on Form 6-K shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the company's Registration Statement on Form F-3 (File

No. 333-287829) and to be a part thereof from the date on which this report is filed, to the extent not superseded by documents

or reports subsequently filed or furnished.

Page 1 of 10

EXPLANATORY NOTE

This report on Form 6-K, which includes the unaudited consolidated interim results of Lloyds Banking Group plc for

the nine months ended 30 September 2026, is being incorporated by reference into the Registration Statement

with File No. 333-287829.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act

of 1934, as amended, and section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the business, strategy, plans

and/or results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) and its current goals and expectations.

Statements that are not historical or current facts, including statements about the Group’s or its directors’ and/or management’s

beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Words such as, without limitation, ‘believes’, ‘achieves’, ‘anticipates’,

‘estimates’, ‘expects’, ‘targets’, ‘should’, ‘intends’, ‘aims’, ‘projects’, ‘plans’, ‘potential’, ‘will’, ‘would’, ‘could’, ‘considered’, ‘likely’,

‘may’, ‘seek’, ‘estimate’, ‘probability’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘deliver’, ‘endeavour’, ‘prospects’, ‘optimistic’ and similar expressions or

variations on these expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements concern or may affect

future matters, including but not limited to: projections or expectations of the Group’s future financial position, including profit

attributable to shareholders, provisions, economic profit, dividends, capital structure, portfolios, net interest margin, capital

ratios, liquidity, risk-weighted assets (RWAs), expenditures or any other financial items or ratios; litigation, regulatory and

governmental investigations; the Group’s future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-

downs; the Group’s ESG targets and/or commitments; statements of plans, objectives or goals of the Group or its management

and other statements that are not historical fact and statements of assumptions underlying such statements. By their nature,

forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon circumstances that will

or may occur in the future. Factors that could cause actual business, strategy, targets, plans and/or results (including but not

limited to the payment of dividends) to differ materially from forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: general

economic and business conditions in the UK and internationally (including in relation to tariffs); imposed and threatened tariffs

and changes to global trade policies; acts of hostility or terrorism and responses to those acts, or other such events; geopolitical

unpredictability; the war between Russia and Ukraine; the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East; the tensions between China

and Taiwan; political instability including as a result of any UK general election; market related risks, trends and developments;

changes in client and consumer behaviour and demand; exposure to counterparty risk; the ability to access sufficient sources of

capital, liquidity and funding when required; changes to the Group’s credit ratings; fluctuations in interest rates, inflation,

exchange rates, stock markets and currencies; volatility in credit markets; volatility in the price of the Group’s securities; natural

pandemic and other disasters; risks concerning borrower and counterparty credit quality; risks affecting insurance business and

defined benefit pension schemes; changes in laws, regulations, practices and accounting standards or taxation; changes to

regulatory capital or liquidity requirements and similar contingencies; the policies and actions of governmental or regulatory

authorities or courts together with any resulting impact on the future structure of the Group; risks associated with the Group’s

compliance with a wide range of laws and regulations; assessment related to resolution planning requirements; risks related to

regulatory actions which may be taken in the event of a bank or Group failure; exposure to legal, regulatory or competition

proceedings, investigations or complaints; failure to comply with anti-money laundering, counter terrorist financing, anti-bribery

and sanctions regulations; failure to prevent or detect any illegal or improper activities; operational risks including risks as a result

of the failure of third party suppliers; conduct risk; risks related to new and emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence;

technological changes and risks to the security of IT and operational infrastructure, systems, data and information resulting from

increased threat of cyber and other attacks; technological failure; inadequate or failed internal or external processes or systems;

risks relating to ESG matters, such as climate change (and achieving climate change ambitions) and decarbonisation, including

the Group’s ability along with the government and other stakeholders to measure, manage and mitigate the impacts of climate

change effectively, and human rights issues; the impact of competitive conditions; failure to attract, retain and develop high

calibre talent; the ability to achieve strategic objectives; the ability to derive cost savings and other benefits including, but

without limitation, as a result of any acquisitions, disposals and other strategic transactions; inability to capture accurately the

expected value from acquisitions; assumptions and estimates that form the basis of the Group’s financial statements; and

potential changes in dividend policy. A number of these influences and factors are beyond the Group’s control. Please refer to the

latest Annual Report on Form 20-F filed by Lloyds Banking Group plc with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC),

which is available on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov, for a discussion of certain factors and risks. Lloyds Banking Group plc

may also make or disclose written and/or oral forward-looking statements in other written materials and in oral statements made

by the directors, officers or employees of Lloyds Banking Group plc to third parties, including financial analysts. Except as

required by any applicable law or regulation, the forward-looking statements contained in this document are made as of today’s

date, and the Group expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-

looking statements contained in this document whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The

information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable law or an

offer to sell any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or financial

instruments.

Page 2 of 10

STATUTORY INFORMATION (IFRS)

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)

Nine

months

ended

30 Sep

2026

£m

Nine

months

ended

30 Sep

2025

£m

Net interest income

10,827

9,808

Other income

5,257

4,444

Total income

16,084

14,252

Operating expenses

(8,533)

(8,955)

Impairment

(926)

(619)

Profit before tax

6,625

4,678

Tax expense

(1,790)

(1,356)

Profit after tax

4,835

3,322

Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

4,432

2,892

Profit attributable to other equity holders

334

365

Profit attributable to non-controlling interests

69

65

Profit after tax

4,835

3,322

Ordinary shares in issue (weighted-average – basic)

58,285m

60,070m

Basic earnings per share

7.6p

4.8p

Page 3 of 10

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET (UNAUDITED)

At 30 Sep

2026

£m

At 31 Dec

2025

£m

Assets

Cash and balances at central banks

55,919

56,661

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

254,977

240,413

Derivative financial instruments

23,732

19,727

Financial assets at amortised cost

577,499

553,672

Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income

39,811

36,320

Other assets

43,202

37,279

Total assets

995,140

944,072

Liabilities

Deposits from banks

8,417

5,779

Customer deposits

502,777

496,457

Repurchase agreements at amortised cost

45,837

38,570

Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

32,452

27,909

Derivative financial instruments

21,481

16,132

Debt securities in issue at amortised cost

92,477

78,271

Liabilities arising from insurance and participating investment contracts

143,874

135,284

Liabilities arising from non-participating investment contracts

62,077

61,640

Third party interests in consolidated funds1

14,048

12,781

Other liabilities1

17,325

13,488

Subordinated liabilities

8,404

9,894

Total liabilities

949,169

896,205

Total equity

45,971

47,867

Total equity and liabilities

995,140

944,072

1Third party interests in consolidated funds, previously reported within other liabilities, are now shown separately. Comparative

periods have been represented on a consistent basis.

CAPITAL METRICS

At 30 Sep

2026

At 31 Dec

2025

Risk-weighted assets

£247.4bn

£235.5bn

Common equity tier 1 ratio

13.3%

14.0%

Tier 1 capital ratio

15.2%

16.2%

Total capital ratio

17.9%

18.9%

Page 4 of 10

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Income statement

The Group’s statutory profit before tax for the first nine months of 2026 was £6,625 million, 42% higher than in the

first nine months of 2025, reflecting higher total income and lower operating expenses, primarily due to a lower

remediation charge. This was partially offset by a higher impairment charge. Profit after tax was £4,835 million and

earnings per share were 7.6 pence (nine months ended 30 September 2025: £3,322 million and 4.8 pence

respectively).

Total income for the first nine months of 2026 was £16,084 million, an increase of 13% on the prior period (nine

months to 30 September 2025: £14,252 million). Net interest income of £10,827 million was up 10% (nine months

to 30 September 2025: £9,808 million), driven by higher average interest-earning assets and a higher margin,

resulting from increased structural hedge income as maturing positions were reinvested at higher interest rates,

partially offset by asset margin compression across portfolios, particularly in UK mortgages, and a competitive

deposit market.

Other income increased by 18% to £5,257 million (nine months to 30 September 2025: £4,444 million), with a

higher net investment return and finance result in respect of insurance and investment contracts, higher net fee

and commission income, higher net trading income and higher other operating income, partially offset by a lower

insurance service result. The net investment return and finance result in respect of insurance and investment

contracts and net trading income increased due to market movements. Net fee and commission income increased

by 21% as a result of strengthening customer activity and the addition of Lloyds Wealth. Other operating income

increased by 17% as a result of vehicle fleet growth and higher average vehicle rental value in UK Motor Finance, a

one-off gain on the securitisation of primarily legacy mortgages and continued growth in Lloyds Living. The

insurance service result reduced due to increased general insurance claims, particularly as a result of the industry-

wide subsidence event.

Total operating expenses of £8,533 million decreased by 5% (nine months to 30 September 2025: £8,955 million)

reflecting a lower remediation charge, continued cost savings, a lower severance expense and plateauing

investment as the current strategic cycle culminates. This was partly offset by business growth costs, inflationary

pressures, costs related to Lloyds Wealth and a higher operating lease depreciation charge. The operating lease

depreciation charge increased given fleet growth, the depreciation of higher value vehicles and a second quarter

charge for reduced used car prices, partially offset by continued risk mitigation.

A remediation charge of £61 million was recognised by the Group in the first nine months of 2026 (nine months to

30 September 2025: £912 million) across a small number of programmes. The prior year included £800 million in

relation to the potential impact of motor finance commission arrangements, taken in the third quarter of 2025.

There have been no further charges relating to motor finance commission arrangements. The FCA published policy

statement PS26/3 in March 2026 with final rules for its motor finance redress schemes. Four challenges to the

FCA’s schemes have been raised, three by lenders and one by a consumer group. The implementation of the

schemes has now been delayed, as the Upper Tribunal hearing in respect of those challenges is listed for hearing in

the second half of February 2027. The Group will closely monitor the development of these challenges and

consider any potential impact on the existing provision. Despite these uncertainties, as well as broader

implications of any legal and/or regulatory developments, the current provision continues to represent the Group’s

current best estimate of the potential impact of the motor finance issue.

The impairment charge was £926 million (nine months to 30 September 2025: £619 million). The higher charge

compared to prior year is driven by adverse model updates alongside balance sheet growth in Retail, and lower

one-off provision releases in Commercial Banking. The charge includes a net charge from updated multiple

economic scenarios (MES) reflecting the impact of the deterioration in the economic outlook due to the Middle

East conflict. This is partially offset by the release of the £50 million post model adjustment for global tariff and

political disruption risks within Commercial Banking in the first quarter, now considered to be adequately captured

within macroeconomic assumptions and resulting modelled provisions. Credit performance remains strong and

stable across Retail and Commercial Banking with arrears low and stable in all portfolios.

The Group recognised a tax expense of £1,790 million in the first nine months of 2026 (nine months to

30 September 2025: £1,356 million).

Page 5 of 10

FINANCIAL REVIEW (continued)

Balance sheet

As at 30 September 2026, total assets were £995,140 million, an increase of £51,068 million (31 December 2025:

£944,072 million).

Financial assets at amortised cost were £577,499 million, £23,827 million higher over the period (31 December

2025: £553,672 million), including increases in loans and advances to customers of £14,134 million, reverse

repurchase agreements of £3,866 million, debt securities of £3,465 million and loans and advances to banks of

£2,362 million. Loans and advances to customers included growth of £2,103 million in UK mortgages (net of the

impact of a securitisation of £1,841 million of primarily legacy Retail mortgages in the second quarter), alongside

£4,249 million of growth across credit cards, UK Retail unsecured loans, UK Motor Finance and the European retail

business. Lending balances also increased in Commercial Banking by £9,220 million in the first nine months of

2026, reflecting broad-based growth in Corporate and Institutional Banking and Business and Commercial Banking,

net of continued government-backed lending repayments. Reverse repurchase agreements and debt securities

increased in response to market conditions.

Financial assets held at fair value through profit or loss at £254,977 million increased by £14,564 million during the

period, largely due to increased assets held to back insurance and investment contract liabilities reflecting market

movements, alongside an increase within the banking business.

Derivative financial assets were £4,005 million higher at £23,732 million, driven by market movements. Cash and

balances at central banks decreased by £742 million to £55,919 million and financial assets at fair value through

other comprehensive income of £39,811 million increased by £3,491 million, reflecting changes in liquidity holdings.

Other assets were £5,923 million higher, largely reflecting increased settlement balances, vehicle fleet growth

within UK Motor Finance and growth in investment properties within Lloyds Living.

Total liabilities were £949,169 million, £52,964 million higher over the period (31 December 2025: £896,205

million). Customer deposits of £502,777 million increased by £6,320 million in the first nine months of 2026. Retail

deposits were down by £3,612 million, driven by lower Retail UK savings account balances largely in the first

quarter, due to disciplined pricing in the context of a competitive deposit market. Retail UK current account

balances were up £994 million, supported by the strength of the Group’s franchise and proposition. Commercial

Banking deposits increased by £9,611 million in the first nine months of 2026, with growth in targeted sectors.

Deposits from banks increased by £2,638 million to £8,417 million while repurchase agreements at amortised cost

increased by £7,267 million to £45,837 million.

Financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss increased by £4,543 million to £32,452 million as a result of

increased trading activity and derivative financial liabilities increased by £5,349 million to £21,481 million given

market movements. Liabilities arising from insurance and investment contracts increased by £9,027 million,

reflecting the corresponding increase in the assets held to back these liabilities. Other liabilities increased by

£3,837 million to £17,325 million, largely due to increased settlement balances. Debt securities in issue at amortised

cost increased by £14,206 million to £92,477 million due to new issuances in the period, while subordinated

liabilities decreased by £1,490 million to £8,404 million as a result of redemptions in the period.

Total equity of £45,971 million at 30 September 2026 decreased by £1,896 million (31 December 2025: £47,867

million). Profit for the period was more than offset by the impact of ordinary share buyback programmes in respect

of 2025 and the first half of 2026, the dividends paid in May 2026 and September 2026 and movements in the

cash flow hedge reserve resulting from higher longer-term rates.

Page 6 of 10

FINANCIAL REVIEW (continued)

Capital

The Group’s common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio reduced to 13.3% at 30 September 2026 (31 December 2025:

14.0%). Banking business profits for the first nine months of the year and the £100 million interim dividend received

from the Group’s Insurance business in June 2026 were more than offset by the impact of the ordinary share

buyback programme in respect of 2025 (announced in January 2026) that completed during the period, the

recognition of the full capital impact of the ordinary share buyback programme in respect of the first half of 2026

(announced in July 2026), the payment of the interim ordinary dividend in September 2026, the accrual for

foreseeable ordinary dividends, distributions on other equity instruments and an increase in risk-weighted assets.

The Group’s total capital ratio reduced to 17.9% at 30 September 2026 (31 December 2025: 18.9%) predominantly

reflecting AT1 and tier 2 instrument calls and the increase in risk-weighted assets. This was partly offset by tier 2

issuance during the period and the reclassification of the Group’s existing preference shares as tier 2 capital

following the AT1 consent solicitation undertaken in May 2026. The MREL ratio reduced to 31.2% at 30 September

2026 (31 December 2025: 32.2%) with the increase in MREL resources, reflecting the increase in other eligible

liabilities, more than offset by the increase in risk-weighted assets.

Risk-weighted assets increased by £11,849 million to £247,362 million at 30 September 2026 (31 December 2025:

£235,513 million), largely reflecting the impact of strong lending growth and market and other movements, partially

offset by continued optimisation including risk transfer and securitisation activity across Commercial Banking and

Retail.

The Group’s UK leverage ratio reduced to 5.0% at 30 September 2026 (31 December 2025: 5.4%), reflecting the

decrease in total tier 1 capital and an increase in the leverage exposure measure. The latter primarily reflects strong

lending growth, including off-balance sheet commitments, increases in securities financing transactions and an

increase in holdings of debt securities within the liquidity portfolio.

Page 7 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION

1.Basis of presentation

This release covers the results of Lloyds Banking Group plc together with its subsidiaries (the Group) for the nine

months ended 30 September 2026.

The Group’s Q3 2026 Interim Pillar 3 Disclosures can be found at: www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/investors/

financial-downloads.html.

Accounting policies

The accounting policies are consistent with those applied by the Group in its 2025 Annual Report on Form 20-F.

2.Loans and advances to customers and expected credit loss allowance

At 30 September 2026

Stage 1

£m

Stage 2

£m

Stage 3

£m

POCI

£m

Total

£m

Stage 2

as % of

total

Stage 3

as % of

total

Loans and advances to customers

UK mortgages

289,013

28,879

3,728

4,212

325,832

8.9

1.1

Credit cards

16,601

2,183

320

–

19,104

11.4

1.7

UK unsecured loans and overdrafts

11,249

1,462

215

–

12,926

11.3

1.7

UK Motor Finance

15,168

2,613

149

–

17,930

14.6

0.8

Other

23,014

400

140

–

23,554

1.7

0.6

Retail

355,045

35,537

4,552

4,212

399,346

8.9

1.1

Business and Commercial Banking

25,547

3,549

1,030

–

30,126

11.8

3.4

Corporate and Institutional Banking

67,493

2,039

680

–

70,212

2.9

1.0

Commercial Banking

93,040

5,588

1,710

–

100,338

5.6

1.7

Other1

(1,141)

–

–

–

(1,141)

Total gross lending

446,944

41,125

6,262

4,212

498,543

8.2

1.3

Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn)

UK mortgages

57

193

283

114

647

Credit cards

223

288

160

–

671

UK unsecured loans and overdrafts

157

216

116

–

489

UK Motor Finance2

206

141

77

–

424

Other

20

10

33

–

63

Retail

663

848

669

114

2,294

Business and Commercial Banking

77

154

130

–

361

Corporate and Institutional Banking

79

111

319

–

509

Commercial Banking

156

265

449

–

870

Other

–

–

–

–

–

Total

819

1,113

1,118

114

3,164

Customer related ECL allowance (drawn and undrawn) as a percentage of loans and advances to customers

Stage 1

%

Stage 2

%

Stage 3

%

POCI

%

Total

%

UK mortgages

–

0.7

7.6

2.7

0.2

Credit cards

1.3

13.2

50.0

–

3.5

UK unsecured loans and overdrafts

1.4

14.8

54.0

–

3.8

UK Motor Finance

1.4

5.4

51.7

–

2.4

Other

0.1

2.5

23.6

–

0.3

Retail

0.2

2.4

14.7

2.7

0.6

Business and Commercial Banking

0.3

4.3

12.6

–

1.2

Corporate and Institutional Banking

0.1

5.4

46.9

–

0.7

Commercial Banking

0.2

4.7

26.3

–

0.9

Other

–

–

–

Total

0.2

2.7

17.9

2.7

0.6

1Contains central fair value hedge accounting adjustments.

2UK Motor Finance includes £228 million relating to provisions against residual values of vehicles subject to finance leases.

Page 8 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

3.Total ECL allowance by scenario

The following table shows the Group’s ECL for the probability-weighted, upside, base case, downside and severe

downside scenarios.

Probability-

weighted

£m

Upside

£m

Base case

£m

Downside

£m

Severe

downside

£m

At 30 September 2026

3,177

2,505

2,892

3,540

4,954

At 31 December 2025

3,228

2,466

2,862

3,672

5,275

4.UK economic assumptions

Base case and MES economic assumptions

The Group’s base case economic scenario has been updated to reflect events through to the balance sheet date,

including ongoing geopolitical developments. The Group has included updated assumptions for energy prices and

conflict-related impacts in its quarter-end base case conditioning assumptions.

Incorporating the economic data published in the third quarter of 2026, the Group’s base case scenario is for an

ongoing expansion in gross domestic product (GDP), modest gains in residential and commercial property prices

alongside a small increase in the unemployment rate. Recent increases in energy prices imply increased inflationary

pressures, warranting an upward adjustment in Bank Rate of 25 basis points in November 2026. However, the

terminal rate assumption remains unchanged at 3.50%, reaching that level in the second half of 2028. Risks around

this base case economic view lie in both directions and are largely captured by the generation of alternative

economic scenarios.

The Group’s approach to generating alternative economic scenarios is set out in detail in note 21 to the financial

statements of the Group’s 2025 Annual Report and Accounts. The Group has taken into account the latest

available information at the reporting date in defining its base case scenario and generating alternative economic

scenarios. The scenarios include forecasts for key variables as of the third quarter of 2026. Actuals for this period,

or restatements of past data, may have since emerged prior to publication and have not been included.

UK economic assumptions – base case scenario by quarter

Key quarterly assumptions made by the Group in the base case scenario are shown below. GDP growth is

presented quarter-on-quarter. House price growth, commercial real estate price growth and CPI inflation are

presented year-on-year, i.e. from the equivalent quarter in the previous year. Unemployment rate and UK Bank

Rate are presented as at the end of each quarter.

At 30 September 2026

First

quarter

2026

%

Second

quarter

2026

%

Third

quarter

2026

%

Fourth

quarter

2026

%

First

quarter

2027

%

Second

quarter

2027

%

Third

quarter

2027

%

Fourth

quarter

2027

%

Gross domestic product growth

0.6

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

Unemployment rate

5.0

4.9

5.0

5.1

5.3

5.3

5.3

5.2

House price growth

0.8

0.6

0.3

0.7

0.5

1.0

1.6

1.7

Commercial real estate price growth

0.8

0.3

(0.3)

(0.6)

(0.9)

(0.8)

(0.7)

(0.4)

UK Bank Rate

3.75

3.75

3.75

4.00

4.00

4.00

4.00

4.00

CPI inflation

3.1

2.8

3.0

3.6

4.3

3.7

2.9

2.3

Page 9 of 10

ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION (continued)

4.UK economic assumptions (continued)

UK economic assumptions – scenarios by year

Key annual assumptions made by the Group are shown below. GDP growth and CPI inflation are presented as an

annual change, house price growth and commercial real estate price growth are presented as the growth in the

respective indices within the period. Unemployment rate and UK Bank Rate are averages for the period.

At 30 September 2026

2026

%

2027

%

2028

%

2029

%

2030

%

2026-2030

average

%

Upside

Gross domestic product growth

1.4

2.5

1.9

1.6

1.7

1.8

Unemployment rate

4.9

3.7

3.1

3.0

3.3

3.6

House price growth

1.1

4.3

8.1

7.7

6.5

5.5

Commercial real estate price growth

0.7

8.3

4.4

2.7

1.3

3.5

UK Bank Rate

3.81

4.91

5.21

5.36

5.58

4.98

CPI inflation

3.1

3.3

1.9

2.6

3.0

2.8

Base case

Gross domestic product growth

1.3

1.1

1.3

1.5

1.7

1.4

Unemployment rate

5.0

5.3

5.0

4.7

4.7

4.9

House price growth

0.7

1.7

2.2

2.9

3.6

2.2

Commercial real estate price growth

(0.6)

(0.4)

1.0

1.0

0.5

0.3

UK Bank Rate

3.81

4.00

3.63

3.50

3.50

3.69

CPI inflation

3.1

3.3

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.4

Downside

Gross domestic product growth

1.2

(0.8)

0.2

1.3

1.7

0.7

Unemployment rate

5.1

7.1

7.5

7.0

6.8

6.7

House price growth

0.4

(1.3)

(5.1)

(3.8)

(1.0)

(2.2)

Commercial real estate price growth

(2.0)

(10.3)

(4.3)

(2.4)

(2.0)

(4.3)

UK Bank Rate

3.81

2.92

1.52

1.06

0.80

2.02

CPI inflation

3.1

3.2

1.2

0.8

0.7

1.8

Severe downside

Gross domestic product growth

1.0

(3.1)

(0.8)

1.1

1.6

(0.1)

Unemployment rate

5.4

9.5

10.4

9.7

9.2

8.8

House price growth

0.0

(3.2)

(12.4)

(10.8)

(6.4)

(6.7)

Commercial real estate price growth

(4.0)

(20.9)

(10.2)

(7.7)

(5.7)

(9.9)

UK Bank Rate

3.81

1.53

0.16

0.04

0.01

1.11

CPI inflation

3.1

3.2

0.7

(0.4)

(0.9)

1.1

Probability-weighted

Gross domestic product growth

1.2

0.6

0.9

1.4

1.7

1.2

Unemployment rate

5.0

5.8

5.7

5.4

5.4

5.5

House price growth

0.7

1.1

0.3

1.0

2.1

1.0

Commercial real estate price growth

(1.0)

(2.8)

(0.7)

(0.4)

(0.7)

(1.1)

UK Bank Rate

3.81

3.70

3.12

2.98

2.97

3.32

CPI inflation

3.1

3.3

1.5

1.5

1.6

2.2

Page 10 of 10

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to

be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorised.

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP plc

By:

/s/ William Chalmers

Name:

William Chalmers

Title:

Chief Financial Officer

Dated:

29 October 2026

来源:SEC EDGAR · 本站存档