[{"_1":2,"_3":-5,"_4":-5},"loaderData",{"_5":6,"_7":8},"actionData","errors","root",{"_121":122},"en-item",{"_9":10,"_10":11},"kind","item",{"_12":13,"_14":15,"_16":17,"_18":19,"_20":21,"_22":23,"_24":25,"_26":27,"_28":29,"_30":31,"_32":31,"_33":34,"_35":36,"_37":38,"_39":40,"_41":42,"_43":44,"_45":46,"_47":-5,"_48":49,"_50":-5,"_51":-5,"_52":53,"_54":55,"_56":57,"_58":42,"_59":42,"_60":61,"_62":42,"_63":64},"id","twsxskq078qg9wu16wo3wgk6f","revision",2,"title","德州经济指标：9月就业放缓通胀与出口双升","originalTitle","Texas Economic Indicators","summary","德州9月就业年化下降1.6%（约1.89万个岗位），失业率持平于4.4%，平均时薪同比增长5.3%至36.34美元。8月核心CPI同比升至3.1%，能源价格同比上涨16.6%。8月总出口同比增长6.5%，较上年同期增长20.3%。德州联储下调2026年就业增长预测至0.9%。","reason","德州就业增长放缓且通胀压力上升，显示区域经济在制造业和能源领域面临调整，同时出口增长受地缘政治因素驱动。","source",{"_12":112,"_113":114,"_9":115,"_116":42,"_117":118,"_119":120},"links",{"_109":110,"_102":111},"publishedAt","2026-11-02T22:45:00.000Z","discoveredAt","2026-11-02T23:43:40.026Z","timelineAt","category","paper","tags",[106,107,108],"stockSymbols",[],"score",65,"selected",true,"channel","news","story",{"_73":74,"_16":75},"x","readingMode","full","author","language","body",{"_64":101,"_102":-5,"_103":104,"_105":42},"outline",[77,78,79,80,81,82,83],"relatedStories",[76],"indexable","markdownAvailable","group",{"_65":66,"_45":67,"_68":69,"_70":71,"_72":69},"hasTranslation","bodyLanguage","zh","factId","fUObKhertxoM",{"_73":74,"_16":75},"reportCount",1,"additionalSourceCount",0,"developmentCount","publicId","73d037d5-d496-4acc-9a7c-87cbe6f3b277","达拉斯联储下调德州2026年就业预测",{"_73":74,"_16":75},{"_12":99,"_85":100,"_87":15},{"_12":97,"_85":98,"_87":94},{"_12":95,"_85":96,"_87":94},{"_12":92,"_85":93,"_87":94},{"_12":90,"_85":91,"_87":15},{"_12":88,"_85":89,"_87":15},{"_12":84,"_85":86,"_87":15},"sec-7","text","贸易","level","sec-6","消费者价格指数","sec-5","德克萨斯商业前景调查","sec-4","工资上涨",3,"sec-3","失业率持平","sec-2","各行业就业增长不一","sec-1","劳动力市场","

2026年11月2日

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\t\n

*三个月移动平均。
德克萨斯州经济仪表盘（2026年9月）
就业增长（年化） \n 2026年6月至9月	失业率 \n	平均时薪（平滑）* \n	平均时薪同比增长（平滑）* \n
0.2%	4.4%	$36.34	5.3%

德克萨斯劳动力市场在9月有所放缓。就业人数下降，各行业增长情况不一。然而，失业率保持平稳，9月工资有所上涨。总体通胀上升，10月的德克萨斯商业前景调查显示价格压力增加。总出口额增加，且远高于去年同期水平。

劳动力市场

各行业就业增长不一

德克萨斯就业人数在9月年化下降1.6个百分点（18,900个工作岗位），使年初至今的增长放缓至年化0.8个百分点（图表1）。第三季度就业增长疲软，制造业、专业和商业服务以及石油和天然气行业领跌。大多数主要行业的信息、建筑和其他服务业就业人数持平或下降。达拉斯联邦储备银行在9月就业报告疲软后，将2026年的德克萨斯就业预测下调至0.9个百分点。

失业率持平

德克萨斯失业率在9月保持不变，为4.4%（图表2）。全国失业率较低，为4.2%。德克萨斯劳动力在9月年化增长1.2%，与一年前基本持平。

工资上涨

德克萨斯名义时薪的三个月移动平均数在9月上涨至36.34美元。与去年同期相比，德克萨斯工资在9月增长5.3%，快于全国3.1%的涨幅（图表3）。德克萨斯工资低于全国平均水平（37.74美元）。

德克萨斯商业前景调查

10月的德克萨斯商业前景调查显示销售价格压力增加。德克萨斯制造业前景调查的制成品价格指数升至29.9，远高于9.3的平均水平（图表4）。德克萨斯服务业前景调查的销售价格指数升至18.2，高于7.5的平均水平。两个指数均处于多年高位。

消费者价格指数

8月，德克萨斯总体消费者价格指数（CPI）的12个月变化率上升至2.2%（图表5）。与此同时，剔除食品和能源的核心CPI升至3.1%。食品、服务和住房CPI分别增长3.2%、1.7%和1.4%。过去12个月能源价格上涨16.6%，医疗价格上涨3.2%，大宗商品上涨3.1%。

贸易

8月，德克萨斯总出口额增长6.5%，比一年前高出20.3%（图表6）。出口增长情况不一。石油和天然气出口增长14.9%，比一年前高出18.5%，活动水平上升可能由伊朗战争驱动。石油和煤炭产品（增长5.2%）、计算机和电子产品（增长2.3%）以及化学品（增长1.5%）出口均有所增长，而运输设备出口下降4.1%。

注：由于修订，数据可能与之前公布的数字不符。

关于德克萨斯经济指标

如有问题或建议，请联系Dylan Council。德克萨斯经济指标在德克萨斯就业数据发布后每月发布。

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