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2026年第三季度

\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n

Midland–Odessa 经济仪表盘 (2026年9月)
	就业增长（年化） \n 2026年6月–9月	失业率 \n	平均时薪\n	平均时薪增长率\n 同比
Midland–Odessa	1.3%	3.2%	$32.57	-4.9%
Midland	1.4%	3.0%	$32.01	-9.5%
Odessa	1.3%	3.6%	$33.43	2.9%

2026年9月结束的三个月内，德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地的就业增长，失业率下降。该地区独栋房屋许可数量和房屋销售数量减少，而售出房屋的中位价格上升。石油产量、新钻井数量和活跃钻机数量均有所上升。

能源

第三季度原油价格下跌

二叠纪盆地（Waha）天然气价格在第二季度上涨，而全国基准价格（Henry Hub）下跌（图表 1）。Henry Hub 的平均价格从第二季度的每桶油当量（BOE）17.11 美元降至 16.67 美元，而位于二叠纪盆地生产井附近的西德克萨斯枢纽 Waha 则从同一时期的每桶油当量（BOE）-16.95 美元上涨至 10.56 美元。

过去几年，二叠纪盆地的天然气经常出现负定价，因为供应增长很大程度上是页岩油生产的副产品，且管道容量经常受限。当天然气产量接近运输和储存基础设施的物理极限时，生产商付费让天然气被移除，以避免关闭石油生产。

尽管伊朗持续的冲突限制了原油的供应，但西德克萨斯中间原油（WTI）在第三季度的平均价格为每桶 86 美元，环比下降 7.6%。下降主要归因于夏季中期的临时停火，使中东出口得以恢复。第三季度的价格比去年同期上涨了 31.9%。在停火破裂和数月价格持续高企之后，WTI 在 10 月份上涨至平均价格 96 美元。

石油产量上升

第三季度二叠纪盆地的石油产量从第二季度的 6.8 mb/d 上升 0.4% 至 6.9 mb/d。同期，新钻井数量和活跃钻机数量分别增长了 8% 和 5.7%（图表 2）。这种增长得益于较小的生产商寻求利用更高的石油价格，以及由于预期新管道将进一步缓解盆地内天然气约束而带来的活动适度增加。

劳动力市场

Midland–Odessa 地区就业上升

Midland–Odessa 的非农就业总数从 6 月到 9 月增长了 1.3%（图表 3）。美国非农就业总数仅微升 0.4%，同期德克萨斯州非农就业增长 0.2%。从 6 月到 9 月，Midland–Odessa 地区的采矿、伐木和建筑业、政府、专业和商业服务以及制造业就业均有所增加。与此同时，贸易、运输和公用事业、休闲和酒店业、教育和医疗服务以及信息和其它服务业的就业在同一时期均有所下降。

与上年同期相比，Midland–Odessa 的就业在 9 月份增长了 1.7%。除贸易、运输和公用事业、金融活动和信息和其它服务业出现就业下降外，大多数行业的就业均有所增加。

失业率下降

9月份，米德兰和埃德萨的失业率均低于6月份 (图表4)。米德兰的失业率从6月份的3.3%下降至9月份的3.0%，而埃德萨的失业率在同一时期从4.1%下降至3.6%。与此同时，德克萨斯州的失业率在9月份保持在4.4%不变。

住房

独栋住房许可减少

与6月份相比，9月份米德兰的独栋住房许可增加了7.2%，但埃德萨的独栋住房许可减少了11% (图表5)。总体而言，从3月到6月，该地区的独栋住房许可下降了4.7%，与同期全州下降的2.3%相似。

房屋销售下降而价格上升

从6月到9月，二叠纪盆地的房屋销售下降了8.8%，较去年同期下降了1.9% (图表6)。9月份售出房屋的名义中位价格为346,000美元，较过去三个月上涨了2.7%，较去年同期上涨了4.7%。相比之下，9月份德克萨斯州的中位价格为329,000美元，同比下降了0.9%。

经通胀调整后，2026年9月米德兰-埃德萨地区售出房屋的实质中位价格较前一年上涨了2.6%，而德克萨斯州的实际价格则上涨了1.1%。

注：就业数据适用于米德兰和埃德萨大都会统计区（马丁、米德兰和埃克托县），除非另有说明。能源数据包括构成二叠纪盆地地区的德克萨斯州西部和新墨西哥州南部的55个县。由于修订，数据可能与之前发布的数字不一致。

关于二叠纪盆地经济指标

有关问题或建议，请联系 Adefemi Abimbola。二叠纪盆地经济指标 每季度发布一次。

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